Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.046038 0.053711 0.062144 0.072085 0.083463 0.096064 0.111056
2025-05-18 0.033298 0.043006 0.054676 0.069671 0.088352 0.110779 0.139656
2025-05-25 0.025244 0.035669 0.049222 0.067983 0.093101 0.125370 0.169726
2025-06-01 0.020299 0.031061 0.046053 0.068193 0.099727 0.142633 0.204939
2025-06-08 0.016144 0.026594 0.042102 0.066391 0.102961 0.155324 0.235130
2025-06-15 0.014227 0.024995 0.041879 0.069692 0.113592 0.179216 0.283358
2025-06-22 0.012025 0.022482 0.039765 0.069637 0.118933 0.195647 0.322047
2025-06-29 0.009960 0.019779 0.036855 0.067756 0.120949 0.206922 0.353639
2025-07-06 0.008459 0.017779 0.034777 0.066874 0.124316 0.220425 0.389755
2025-07-13 0.007837 0.017307 0.035302 0.070550 0.135757 0.248106 0.451447
2025-07-20 0.007151 0.016576 0.035216 0.073044 0.145290 0.273312 0.511029
2025-07-27 0.006090 0.014864 0.032974 0.071126 0.146471 0.283953 0.546120
2025-08-03 0.005284 0.013580 0.031439 0.070474 0.150124 0.299657 0.592239
2025-08-10 0.004476 0.012129 0.029331 0.068367 0.150695 0.309743 0.629058
2025-08-17 0.003836 0.010948 0.027617 0.066829 0.152187 0.321637 0.670237
2025-08-24 0.003413 0.010217 0.026792 0.067095 0.157389 0.341113 0.727489
2025-08-31 0.002927 0.009219 0.025180 0.065347 0.158069 0.351598 0.767910
2025-09-07 0.002776 0.009107 0.025697 0.068614 0.170058 0.386094 0.859176
2025-09-14 0.002475 0.008502 0.024881 0.068566 0.174579 0.405415 0.920911
2025-09-21 0.002135 0.007700 0.023418 0.066715 0.174717 0.415393 0.963915
2025-09-28 0.001879 0.007102 0.022402 0.065847 0.177053 0.430282 1.018451
2025-10-05 0.001814 0.007110 0.023070 0.069473 0.190634 0.471150 1.132221
2025-10-12 0.001711 0.006970 0.023294 0.071932 0.201575 0.506921 1.237336